Kuby’s Commentary
Eric Kuby, Chief Investment Officer of North Star Investment Management, writes a weekly commentary on market and economic trends.
Here is a sampling of recent commentary:
RIP Bears
Last Week: The three big storylines of 2019, Trade, Brexit, and the Fed, were all at play, but generally were met with a muted response, suggesting the script writers need some new material to engage traders in 2020. The market drifted lower through Wednesday as...
Consumers Party On
Last Week: We concluded last week’s blog saying “Friday is a big day for economic releases with the November nonfarm payrolls and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index scheduled to be reported. The stock market party will probably rage on as long as...
Thanksgiving Gravy on Hot Market
Last Week: The market climbed to new highs early in the week as trade deal optimism grew after China indicated that it was taking steps to tighten intellectual property rules. The Bears took over later in the week (Chicago Bears 24, Detroit Lions 20 on Thanksgiving)...
Bulls and Bears in a China Shop
Last Week: All was quiet on the Wall Street front. The S&P 500 slipped 0.33% to break its six week winning streak, as reasonably good consumer reports offset modestly negative trade headlines. During that winning streak the market exhibited a remarkable absence of...
TKIF! (Thank Kudlow It’s Friday)
Last Week: TKIF! (Thank Kudlow It’s Friday) The market drifted through Thursday’s close, as investors slumbered through a mixed bag of economic reports and earnings releases, an escalation of unrest in Hong Kong, a clear message that interest rate policy is on hold...
Bears Hibernating
Last Week: It was a pretty quiet news week, as the Wall Street Bears remained in hibernation, while the Chicago Bears emerged (a win is a win). As we moved into the ninth inning of earnings season, the blended (combines actual results for companies that have reported...
Witch Way is Up
Last Week: Despite a mixed bag of news, investors were treated to a Halloween rally that saw the S&P 500 gain 1.47% to set a new record high. The yield on the Ten-Year Treasury trickled down 7 basis points to 1.73% and the U.S. Dollar held steady. Apparently the...
Bad Week for the Bears
Last Week: The market rallied towards record highs as the corporate earnings, trade, and Fed headlines were all somewhat sanguine. Corporate earnings continued to modestly exceed the low bar that was set for the third quarter, as the blended (combines actual results...
The Good, the Bad and the Politics
Last Week: The Good: Third quarter corporate earnings are off to a handsome start, with more than 14% of S&P 500 companies having reported through Friday, FactSet data shows that 81% posted earnings that beat analyst expectations. To be sure, the companies are...
Tweet Forecast
Last Week: In the summer of 1983, while I was preparing to enter the training program at Drexel Burnham Lambert, the hilarious comedy “Trading Places” was released. The climax of the movie is the year-end release of the USDA report on the orange crop forecast, as all...
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Market Commentary by Eric Kuby, Chief Investment Officer of North Star Investment Management