Kuby’s Commentary
Eric Kuby, Chief Investment Officer of North Star Investment Management, writes a weekly commentary on market and economic trends.
Here is a sampling of recent commentary:
Goldilocks and the 74 Hot Dogs
Last Week: Goldilocks is still alive and well, as evidenced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics initial report on the labor situation in June, which was neither too hot nor too cold. While the unemployment rate increased slightly from 3.8% to 4.0%, the entire increase...
TINA has Left The House
Last Week: “TINA”, which stands for there is no alternative (to equities), has been the battle cry for the bulls during this nine- plus year rally in the market. The gamble by the Federal Reserve that pushing short-term risk-free interest rates down to zero percent...
Still Resilient and Rotating
Last Week: Resilient? But wait, you might be thinking, didn’t the market decline last week? Indeed, the S&P 500 did lose 0.89% and the DJIA 2.72%, while the Russell 2000 managed to post a fractional gain. Given the escalation in trade tensions, I think those...
Resilient. Week 3
Last Week: Once upon a time, a long time ago, in February and March, the market declined, and volatility spiked over concerns of a trade war and tightening monetary policy. Last week Investors (traders?) displayed tremendous resilience to those concerns. On the heels...
Resilient. Week 2
Last Week: Once again, the market proved resilient, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.6%, despite numerous troubling global headlines. Most of the unsettling news relates to trade issues, which clearly could become significant impediments to the global economy if the...
Resilient
Last Week: Definition of Resilient from Merriam-Webster: a: capable of withstanding shock without permanent deformation or rupture. b: tending to recover from or adjust easily to misfortune or change. I’m not so sure about “misfortune”, but there has certainly been...
Winners and Losers
Last Week: Enthusiasm over progress on trade negotiations early in the week, gave way to concerns over a myriad of geopolitical concerns (Turkey, Italy, Iran, Spain, Venezuela, Brazil, North Korea), leaving the equity markets fractionally higher by the close on...
3% and No Panic
Last Week: The Ten-Year Treasury yield moved comfortably over 3%, rising 10 basis points to levels not seen since 2011, without any reaction from the stock market, as the S&P 500 declined a modest 0.54%. Smaller stocks continued their recent outperformance, with...
TIDE Rolls In
Last Week: Following up on the theme from our last blog, the TIDE rolled in for four of the five trading days, and the S&P 500 finishing 2.4% higher. On the positive side, the trade talks moved towards deal making, as speculation grew that the Chinese are prepared...
The Ebb and Flow of the TIDE
Last Week: We are coining a new acronym, “TIDE” (Trade, Inflation, Debt, Earnings), to describe the movement in the market. Trade continued to be a powerful force, triggering a steep sell-off on Thursday as the delegation to China made little progress. Inflation...
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The North Star InvestCast aims to guide investors on actionable insights in the securities markets. Hosted by Eric Kuby, Chief Investment Officer of North Star Investment Management Corp.