Kuby’s Commentary

Kuby’s Commentary2018-06-14T15:17:30+00:00

Eric Kuby, Chief Investment Officer of North Star Investment Management, writes a weekly commentary on market and economic trends. Here is a sampling of recent commentary:

Turkey and Tiger

Last Week: The S&P 500 slipped 0.25%, the yield on the Ten-Year Treasury slid 10 basis points to 2.85%, while the U.S Dollar strengthened over 1% to a new 2018 high. The chart below shows the link between the strength in the dollar and the S&P this year, particularly [...]

August 13th, 2018|

The Theme Remains the Same

Last Week: Our TIEs (Trade, Interest rates, Earnings) theme remained the dominate narrative, with relatively benign developments on the Trade and Interest rates front and continued spectacular Earnings. Unlike most quarters when analysts make downward revisions to earnings estimates as the reporting season approaches, in the first and second [...]

August 6th, 2018|

The TIEs that Bind

Last Week: In the words of the legendary rocker Bruce Springsteen, “You can’t forsake the ties that bind”. In today’s market those “TIEs” are Trade, Interest rates, and Earnings. Trade continues to dominate the narrative, probably because President Trump is a master at controlling the story line. Global trade [...]

July 30th, 2018|

The Good the Bad and the Confusing

Last Week: Wow, what a strange week. Let’s call it the Good, the Bad, and the Confusing. The Good: Corporate earnings are terrific. It now looks like 20.8% net profit growth on a 9% revenue increase. The Bad: US housing starts fell 12.3% in June to a nine-month low, [...]

July 23rd, 2018|

Earning Season Trumps

Last Week: Global trade tensions once again dominated the news, as the U.S. announced additional tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods. Curiously, the S&P 500 responded by rallying 1.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average 2.3%. I believe Fed Chairman Jerome Powell summarized the landscape well, as he [...]

July 16th, 2018|

Goldilocks and the 74 Hot Dogs

Last Week: Goldilocks is still alive and well, as evidenced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics initial report on the labor situation in June, which was neither too hot nor too cold. While the unemployment rate increased slightly from 3.8% to 4.0%, the entire increase was due to an [...]

July 9th, 2018|
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