Confidence Restored “If I had ever been here before I would probably know just what to do…” The lyrics from the CSNY song “Déjà Vu” – which was released exactly 53 years to the day from the onset of the SVB collapse – provide our rationale that the mistakes that...
Kuby’s Commentary
Heartburn With a Chance of Relief
There will be no podcast version of this week’s blog as Research Analyst Brooke Kuby is participating in the annual Roth MKM conference. Fallout Three years ago, the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic created a seismic shift in the global economies and financial markets....
Bostic Bounce
Course of Action The stock market bounced back from its worst week of the year, finishing with its best day of the year on Friday. The rally seemed to be triggered by the comments from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Thursday afternoon, in which he suggested that...
Whacked Wacky
Damage from Data “The Wacky U.S. Economy” is the most recent Barron’s magazine cover story. The article suggests that there is no precedent for the current economic conditions, therefore traditional monetary policy and forecasting tools are ineffective. Specifically,...
Something Good
Recovery Ahead Whereas most media outlets seem to subscribe to the commonly accepted principle that bad news sells, we would prefer to channel the 1974 hit song from Rufus and Chaka Khan, “Tell Me Something Good”. Case in point, the hotter than expected CPI and PPI...
Downer Drift
Humdrum Geopolitical tensions, hawkish Fedspeak, and lackluster earnings combined to produce humdrum financial markets. It was geopolitics on Monday with the U.S. shooting down a Chinese spy balloon over the coast of South Carolina. Several more flying objects were...
Disinflation Rally
Five Words The combination of 5 dovish words from the Fed and encouraging data on the economy was able to overcome lackluster earnings reports and drive stock prices higher. Earnings reports continued to be subpar midway through the fourth quarter earnings season with...
Bull Stampede
Wild Rush The 2023 bull stampede on Wall Street continued as the economic data and corporate earnings reports declawed those grumpy bears. All the major market averages finished higher, with the Nasdaq Composite climbing 4.3% to rack up a fourth straight week of...
Dovish Data, Hawkish Talk
Robust Rally A robust rally on Friday erased the losses from earlier in the week, with high-profile tech stocks leading the bounce. Netflix Inc (NFLX) surged 8.5% after gaining more subscribers than expected, and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) added more than 5% after Google...
Bouncing Bargains
Solid Start Stocks registered their best weekly percentage gains since November, as the economic data releases and the corporate earnings reports encouraged investors. On the economic front, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index climbed in January to its...
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