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Kuby’s Commentary

Market Bounces with Good, Bad, and Ugly Headlines

Last Week: Fortunately we don’t need to repeat the repeat of “Rally Interrupted”, as the market posted its best performance since November 2018 as the S&P 500 jumped 3.2% and the Nasdaq composite surged 4%. As is often the case, there was good, bad, and ugly news...

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Rally Interrupted on Repeat

Last Week: I could just repost last week’s commentary and just change the specific numbers as the storyline was essentially a rerun. In fact, I will: The stock market party was disrupted as the Coronavirus upset the apple cart. Corporate earnings reports were strong...

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Rally Interrupted

Last Week: The stock market party was disrupted as the Coronavirus upset the apple cart. Corporate earnings reports were strong and interest rates moved lower, but the S&P 500 declined 1.03% and the Russell 2000 fell 2.2%. It was the biggest one-week drop in the...

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Punch Bowl is Still Full

Last Week: President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He finally signed a phase-one trade deal on Wednesday. The eight-part deal includes protections for trade secrets and intellectual property, mechanisms for enforceability, and commitments by Beijing to...

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Upward Momentum Continues

Last Week: P=MV P=Momentum M=Mass V=Velocity The S&P 500 set another record on Thursday, as the upward momentum powered stocks through the destabilizing news flow from the Middle East. A minor sell-off on Friday following a tepid jobs report left the S&P 500...

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Blurry Start to 2020

Last Week: The economic trends remained in place as 2019 wrapped up as the number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits at the end of 2019 fell slightly, showing the pace of layoffs in the U.S. remains near a half-century low. Initial jobless claims...

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2020: The Year of the Lion?

Last Week: The S&P 500 inched up 0.58% on extremely light volume to close at another record high. Small and Mid cap stocks drifted fractionally lower, and the yield on the Ten-Year Treasury slipped 5 basis points to 1.87%. There were a few reasons for good cheer....

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Bulls Run Wild

Last Week: The FOMOTINA Rally (Fear of Missing Out There Is No Alternative) kicked into high gear, with U.S. stocks hitting record closing highs again on Friday and the S&P 500 registering a 1.65% gain, its biggest weekly rise since early September. The rally was...

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RIP Bears

Last Week: The three big storylines of 2019, Trade, Brexit, and the Fed, were all at play, but generally were met with a muted response, suggesting the script writers need some new material to engage traders in 2020. The market drifted lower through Wednesday as...

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Consumers Party On

Last Week: We concluded last week’s blog saying “Friday is a big day for economic releases with the November nonfarm payrolls and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index scheduled to be reported. The stock market party will probably rage on as long as...

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