Outbreaks and New Rates In our previous commentary, “War-Torn Week”, we adapted the blues song “Stormy Monday” to describe the tone of the market. We expressed our belief that in the upcoming week that the war would be the primary determinant of the direction of...
Carnage Continues The market definitely sang the blues as the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched its fifth consecutive week of losses, down 2%, while the S&P dropped 2.9%, the Nasdaq slid 3.5%, and the Russell 2000 declined 1.06%. It was a worn-torn Monday And...
Historical Impacts of Military Conflicts on Equity Markets While recognizing that the future of humanity has been permanently altered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, our commentary will remain focused on the stock market and economy during this crisis rather than on...
Volatility Persists The disconnect on Thursday and Friday between the heartbreaking geopolitical developments and the euphoric reaction on Wall Street was startling. At the close of trading Friday, with bloody battles raging in Ukraine, the major indexes had rallied...
Convinced and Concerned For both the Winter Olympics and the market there were many exciting spins and twists during the week, but the stock market took a nasty spill on the slippery ice of the quad combo of geopolitics, economic reports, corporate earnings, and...
Rams Brought It Home If the trading week had ended at lunch on Thursday, then we could have cheerfully turned our attention to the Rams, Bengals, and Snoop Dogg. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, perhaps still upset that the Rams had moved to Los Angeles, threw...
Meta's Face Plant The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite bounced back to post their best weekly gains in 2022, advancing 1.5% and 2.4% respectively. Small caps joined the party with the Russell 2000 rising 1.7% although still down 10.8% for the year and 18.0% since...
All about AAPL The selling from the previous week intensified Monday morning with tech stocks bearing the brunt of the pain as the Nasdaq plummeted 4.90%. During afternoon trading all those losses plus another 0.6% were recouped, representing one of the biggest...
Vicious Cycle The stock market suffered its worst losses in nearly two years with the declines on Friday sending the S&P 500 tumbling below its 200-day moving average, a key technical support level. It marked the third straight week of losses, with the S&P...
Riding the Wave Looking at the graph of S&P 500 last week jogged the memory of a sine wave from middle school math class. A sine wave or sinusoid is any of certain mathematical curves that describe a smooth periodic oscillation. A sine wave is a continuous wave....
Growth Stocks Slip Growth investors have enjoyed a terrific party for the last five years, with the punch bowl spiked with zero percent interest rates and ultra-accommodative fiscal and monetary policy. During that period, the return on the S&P 500 Growth Index...
New Year New Highs The S&P 500 advanced 1.12%, reaching record highs on Monday and Wednesday. For 2021, the Index set 70 all-time highs, the most in a single year since 1954. Small caps finished the year quietly, edging up 0.34%, while the Nasdaq gained 0.56%. The...
The market was able to overcome the emergence of the highly contagious Omicron variant of the Coronavirus, rising inflation expectations, labor shortages and supply chain bottlenecks during the final quarter of 2021. Despite those headwinds, corporate earnings...
How the Grinch Almost Stole the Stock Market On Monday the stock market Grinches smelled the Omicron wave of Covid-19, and declared “Stink, Stank, Stunk” – by Thursday the Santa Claus rally had cleared the air leading to the S&P 500 closing at a record high for...
Grizzly Declines Shortly after we posted last week’s “Where Are the Bears?” commentary, our ursine friends awoke from their slumber Monday morning, mauling investors who had celebrated another record close on the S&P 500 the previous Friday. The twin terrors of...
Cheer Over Fear With the holiday season approaching, the market produced one of its best weekly returns since Valentine’s Day, as buyers saw silver linings in all the otherwise cloudy news. Showing cheer rather than fear, investors shrugged off the consumer price...
Transitioning from Transitory to Tactical In our commentary from the week of June 21, 2021, we offered the following thoughts concerning Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s description of inflation as being “transitory”: Poor Jerome Powell probably listens to the opening of...
Sale! Sale! Sale! All was quiet on the Wall Street front prior to the Thanksgiving holiday, with a modest rally triggered Monday morning after President Biden renominated Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for a second term. The economic data was in-line with...
All Eyes on Inflation Investors were concerned by COVID-19 related developments in Europe, where Austria announced a full national lockdown due to a spike in cases, and Germany mandated new restrictions for unvaccinated people. In the U.S. the number of daily new...
On the Up and Up Inflation looks like it is running, as the lyrics from AC/DC go, “hot” and demanding we “pay the price” for this “problem child.” The stock market finished lower for the week with those escalating inflation fears and related slumping consumer...
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